Analysis · 10 min

Scenario Lab

Learning objective

Test a policy package and read baseline, scenario and difference.

The Scenario Lab applies transparent, illustrative elasticities with time lags. Only confirmed funding pays for the base case; stress tests show what breaks.

Step by step

1
Open the Scenario Lab, choose a country and move a few levers. Open →
2
Save two scenarios and compare them. Open →

What the result means

Results are MODELLED: a consistent “what if”, not a forecast or guarantee.

Limitations and common mistakes

Country settings use own history, then a labelled regional estimate, then a labelled default. These are uncertain relationships, not causal proof.
Regional spill-overs are mapped but not quantified.

Check your understanding

Optional and not scored — pick an answer to see the explanation.

A Scenario Lab package shows employment rising 2% by year 5. What is that?

A guaranteed outcomeA modelled result under stated, illustrative assumptionsAn official government forecast

A figure is labelled MODELLED. What does that mean?

It was measured and published by an official sourceIt was calculated by a model from assumptions — a consistent “what if”It is a forecast AXIOM guarantees

Open Scenario Lab